𝐋𝐚 𝐦𝐮𝐞 𝐞𝐭 𝐥𝐞 𝐬𝐨𝐧𝐝𝐚𝐠𝐞 : 𝐦𝐨𝐧 𝐚𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐲𝐬𝐞 𝐝𝐞 𝐥𝐚 𝐬𝐢𝐭𝐮𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 (Par Elhadji Mansour DIOP)
Yesterday morning, columnist Cheikh Yerim Seck announced that a poll placed PASTEF in the lead with 59% of the votes.
I would like to offer a different perspective, based on figures and facts.
In the presidential election, the Diomaye Président coalition, including PASTEF, obtained 54.28%.
In the legislative elections, the PASTEF-Les Patriotes coalition, with Diomaye Président in its ranks, achieved roughly the same score.
Between the two elections, nothing, or almost nothing, changed.
The response will be that this result reflects a genuine desire for change. That's true, and I don't dispute it. But this desire was expressed through a collective effort. We set out under the banner of the Diomaye President coalition, which brought together numerous parties. On the ground, as our caravans traveled, mayors and local movements joined us at every stage. The approach was the same in the legislative elections: mayors took to the podiums and were presented to the public as supporters of the coalition, which, incidentally, frustrated many local officials. The desire for change and the strength of this territorial organization worked together.
I'll also be told that a mayor doesn't determine an electorate and that voters are free to vote. But a mayor, a movement leader, a prominent figure, or even a former PASTEF official knows their neighborhoods. They mobilize, they reassure. In an election with a 54% turnout, these connections matter. They sometimes carry a few points, and a few points are enough to change the interpretation of an election.
What happened next? Once victory was achieved, these allies were sidelined. Many were waiting for a word of thanks, a role in governance, a simple gesture of recognition. Nothing came for a year. When it came time to bring them back into the APTE coalition, launched with some sixty parties, most declined. This coalition, stillborn, has made no progress since its creation.
Conversely, when the President of the Republic called on the mayors to work alongside him, they came. Everyone will draw their own conclusions.
It will be argued that PASTEF made gains in major cities between the two elections and that it retains a solid grassroots base. Perhaps. But a grassroots base is no substitute for a coalition. If those who enabled the 54% result leave, and if public disappointment is compounded by this departure, I fail to see how the party could magically reach 59%, or even 40%.
The most serious argument remains: a poll is a measuring tool, and only the vote decides. We agree. Indeed, as long as the polling institute, the sample, and the methodology are unknown, no one can present this figure as fact. The only judge will be the voter on election day. What I see on the ground, in the meantime, is that our party, KIIRAAY, is gaining ground and winning the hearts of the Senegalese people.
The lesson that PASTEF will eventually learn, too late, is that a country cannot be governed against a part of itself.
Religious leaders, traditional authorities, the army, political parties, and local elected officials all have their place and their say, even those who represent 1%.
Winning an election gives you a majority. It doesn't give you the right to decide for just one side. Especially when that majority was obtained thanks to an entire coalition, which was then betrayed, before attacking your own government until its downfall, and then trying to put pressure on the institutions of the Republic.
I say this calmly: the President of the Republic has always been open to inclusion. That is why he chose to remain with all those who contributed to his election, rather than give in to the pressure of a single ally who asked him to betray and turn against everyone else. They were good when they helped us win, and they must remain so. No one can blackmail him, for one simple reason: he doesn't know how to blackmail anyone.
And he won't dance to that tasteless music either.
I call on every citizen to reject this way of doing politics.
The Senegal we want is a Senegal of peace and social cohesion, where every patriot embodies a republican spirit.
Elhadji Mansour Diop
Founding member of KIIRAAY The Republican Patriots
Commentaires (5)
Constats des vérités évidentes faites maintenant mon analyse de la sortie de Cheikh Yerim qui secoue Kiiray et il y a de quoi.
Tout d'abord il faut constater que Macky a donné une leçon politicienne magistrale à Diomaye. Il s'est rapproché du PR pour mieux s'en éloigner stratégiquement en laissant Diomaye d'ailleurs en avoir l'initiative. Et tout est parti du sondage commandité par Macky par communes, de ces sondages il a entepris de négocier avec Diomaye pour faire une inter coalition durant les prochaines locales. L'analyse du sondage de Macky faisait que Diomaye devrait le soutenir dans 3/4 des communes du pays où il semble devant l'organisation politique de Diomaye. Ce qui a mis Diomaye en furie car il est évident que ce scénario voudrait dire une vraie cohabitation avec Macky, car au delà des locales les législatives aussi épouseraient le même schéma.
Donc devant la cassure évidente et sanglante entre Macky et Diomaye on a vu les réchauffés de l'affaire Amadou Sall, de l'affaire des meurtres de 2021-24 et des autres supposés que le sieur Niane a laissé entrevoir le week-end dernier.
Le sequencage temporel des faits est important ainsi que le recoupement avec la logorrhée des lieutenants de Macky.
Devant cette réalité effectivement Diomaye a commandité son propre sondage qui ne peut être moins précis que celui de Macky. Et c'est là où le génie de Cheikh Yerim intervient. L'exegese de ces sondages indiquent indubitablement une volonté de Diomaye de négocier avec Sonko. Mais bien sûr, il faut torpiller ces négociations en amont et en cela Amadou Ba fait intervenir, après l'avoir briffé, Cheikh Yerim. Le message de Amadou est clair il ne veut pas disparaître politiquement et veut s'intercaler ou à défaut faire partie de la séquence.
Donc voilà en résumé ce qui se passe avec les sondages. La phrase prêtée à Diomaye n'est pas de lui d'ailleurs c'est une déformation de discussions entre Amadou Ba et des lieutenants de Macky. Qui d'ailleurs jouent de pressions tenaces pour que les khalifes généraux ne s'impliquent pas.
Dans l'absolu Diomaye ne peut ignorer la réalité mais peut faire sans, c'est son droit le plus absolu. Traiter avec Macky ou Amadou Ba c'est selon sa volonté mais ces derniers ne visent que son fauteuil sans état d'âmes.
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