Secrétariat général de l'ONU : Après le premier test informel du Conseil de sécurité, Macky Sall reste dans la course
The United Nations Security Council held its first secret ballot on Thursday, July 30, 2026, to select the successor to the Secretary-General of the international organization. Although this was an informal and non-binding consultation, this initial round of voting constitutes a major political indicator: it allows for a gauging of the candidates' actual support and clearly indicates which candidates have the necessary momentum to remain in the race. Following this crucial screening, former Senegalese President Macky Sall maintained his candidacy and remains fully committed to the race.
In a context marked by debates on geographical rotation in favor of Latin America and the surge in female candidates, former Costa Rican Vice President Rebeca Grynspan has taken the lead in this first poll with ten "supportive" votes. She is immediately followed by former Guyanese Foreign Minister Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett (nine supportive votes), and by the head of the IAEA, Argentinian Rafael Grossi, who completes the top three with seven favorable votes.
In the midst of this group of seven candidates, Macky Sall remains a strong contender. He received six votes of support, seven unfavorable opinions ("discourage"), and two abstentions ("no opinion"). The former Senegalese head of state thus achieved a result comparable to that of former Chilean President Michelle Bachelet (6 votes of support, 5 unfavorable, 4 no opinion), while also outperforming Ecuadorian María Fernanda Espinosa and Ugandan Olara Otunnu.
This first informal test marks the true start of the competition. It will be followed by several more rounds of closed-door consultations before the final choice is submitted to the General Assembly.
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"Based on the first straw poll held on 30 July 2026, Macky Sall does not appear to be among the frontrunners at this stage. According to results reported by Reuters and other outlets citing diplomatic sources, he received:
6 "encourage" votes
7 "discourage" votes
2 "no opinion" votes
This placed him 5th out of 7 candidates in the first informal Security Council vote.
For comparison, the leading candidates reportedly were:
Rebeca Grynspan (Costa Rica): 10 encourage, 1 discourage, 4 no opinion.
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett (Guyana): 9 encourage, 2 discourage, 4 no opinion.
Rafael Grossi (Argentina): 7 encourage, 2 discourage, 6 no opinion.
What does this mean for his chances?
The first straw poll is only an early test of support. Historically, candidates can gain or lose momentum over several rounds. However, candidates who start with more "discourage" than "encourage" votes face a difficult path, especially when other candidates have much broader initial support.
There is another major caveat: the first poll does not reveal whether any "discourage" votes came from one of the five permanent members (United States, China, Russia, United Kingdom, France), whose support is essential because any of them can effectively block a candidate.
My assessment
If I were reading the diplomatic tea leaves today:
Grynspan is the clear early favorite.
Rodrigues-Birkett and Grossi remain very competitive.
Macky Sall is still in the race, but his first-round numbers suggest he is currently an underdog rather than a leading contender.
A rough qualitative estimate based solely on the first straw poll would put his chances as significantly below those of the top three candidates, unless subsequent rounds reveal hidden support among key permanent members or major shifts in diplomatic bargaining. That's an informed interpretation rather than an official forecast."
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